Prognosis

Many patients die ^b though the risk is lower with a minor stroke or TIA  ^a

Note:

• A third of patients with any stroke are dead within a year (38%: 95% CI: 34% to 42%) ^b
• A tenth of patients admitted to hospital with an ischaemic stroke will die within 30 days. (8.9%: 95% CI: 4.3% to 14%) ^{a b} . A third are dead within 12 months, (28%: 95% CI: 23% to 33%) ^b and 44% are dead within 5 years (95% CI: 39% to 50%). ^a
• 15% with a first-ever stroke or TIA die in hospital (95% CI: 13% to 17%). ^a  
• 58% of patients with a first stroke are dead within 5 years (95% CI: 53% to 63%). ^a 30% of patients with a first stroke and minor disability are dead within 10 years (95% CI: 25% to 35%). ^a
• Half of patients with an intracranial haemorrhage die in hospital (51%: 95% CI: 43% to 58%) ^a
• One in thirteen patients aged 15 to 44 with a first stroke or TIA died within the next 8 years. (7.9%: 95% CI: 5.0% to 11%). ^b

Stroke subtypes help predict which patients will die

Stroke subtype a	death at 1 year (95% CI)
LACI	11%  (6% to 16%)
TACI	60%  (50% to 70%)
PACI	16%  (11% to 22%)
POCI	19%  (12% to 25%)

• 60% of patients with a first motor stroke are dead within 10 years (95% CI: 52% to 67%). A quarter have a recurrent stroke within 10 years (24%: 95% CI: 17% to 30%). ^a

The cause of stroke can help predict mortality 

Presumed cause a	death at 30 days
atherosclerosis	8.1% (1.9% to 14%)
cardioembolic	30% (23% to 38%)
lacunar	1.4% (0.0% to 4.1%)
unknown	14% (8.7% to 19%)