Browse Guides  internal medicine  cardiology

Myocardial infarction

Prevalence
Clinical features
Differential diagnosis
Investigations
Therapy
Prevention
Prognosis
Prognosis

Death

Use the following clinical prediction rule to rank your patient's risk of dying within 30 days a b

Sum the following points:

Clinical feature a b Score
aged 75 or more 3
aged 65-74 2
history of diabetes, hypertension or angina 1
systolic bp < 100 mmHg 3
heart rate > 100 beats/min 2
Killip class II-IV (evidence of heart failure) 2
weight < 67 kg 1
anterior ST elevation or left bundle-branch block 1
time to reperfusion therapy > 4 hours 1
 

Why?

  • This clinical prediction rule can rank patients for the risk of dying at 30 days.  a b

Risk of death at 30 days following a myocardial infarction

Score a b LR
(95% CI)
Death at 30 days following reperfusion LR
(95% CI)
Death at 30 days following no reperfusion
9+ 8.0
(7.1 to 9.1)
35% 1.8
(1.7 to 1.9)
29%
8 4.5
(3.9 to 5.2)
23% 1.5
(1.4 to 1.6)
25%
7 3.3
(2.9 to 3.7)
18% 1.4
(1.3 to 1.5)
24%
6 2.6
(2.4 to 2.9)
15% 1.3
(1.2 to 1.3)
22%
5 1.7
(1.5 to 1.8)
10% 1.0
(0.98 to 1.1)
19%
4 0.90
(0.81 to 1.0)
6% 0.72
(0.67 to 0.77)
14%
3 0.57
(0.50 to 0.65)
4% 0.49
(0.44 to 0.55)
10%
2 0.34
(0.29 to 0.40)
2% 0.32
(0.28 to 0.38)
7%
1 0.14
(0.11 to 0.17)
0.9% 0.16
(0.13 to 0.20)
3%
0 0.10
(0.072 to 0.15)
0.7% 0.094
(0.063 to 0.14)
2%
 

Expiry date: November 2003
Levels of Evidence used in grading these guides

Author   CM   Ball , N   Shenker
Reviewer   S   Straus
CAT Writers   CJ   Wotton , N   Shenker , B   Phillips , CM   Ball